Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) : forecasts of total deaths : updated July 23, 2020

Observed and forecasted cumulative reported COVID-19 deaths as of July 23, 2020.Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts\u2022 This week CDC received 26 individual national forecasts.\u2022 This week\u2019s national ensemble forecast predicts there will likely be between 160,000 and 175,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by August 15th.\u2022 National and state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next 4 weeks will likely exceed the number reported over the last 4 weeks for the US overall, as well as in 25 states and 1 territory. The jurisdictions with the greatest likelihood of a larger number of deaths include Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Nevada, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, and Utah.National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.2020803