COVID-19 forecasts: Cumulative deaths

Updated June 18, 2020Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts\u2022 This week CDC received 21 individual national forecasts.\u2022 This week\u2019s national ensemble forecast suggests that there will likely be between 129,000 and 145,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by July 11th.\u2022 The state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next four weeks in Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Hawaii, North Carolina, Oregon, South Carolina, and Utah will likely exceed the number reported over the last four weeks. For other states, the number of new deaths is expected to be similar or decrease slightly compared to the previous four weeks.National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.2020784