<p>Dashed lines represent the median number of cases in simulations with vaccination, and the solid lines represent the median number of cases in uncontrolled epidemic simulations (no vaccination). Each row (panels A–C) represents simulations with vaccination started at the epidemic day denoted on the right hand side (e.g. Day 20). Simulations were started from the reported number of cases in the first 5 days of the epidemic.</p
<p>(A) Zimbabwe. (B) Port-au-Prince, Haiti. (C) Conakry, Guinea. Simulated campaigns had enough vacc...
Red = control group, blue = vaccinated group. Green dashed line = antibody threshold that gives grea...
<p>Panel (a) presents the cumulative number of fatalities under the baseline and annual vaccination ...
<p>Upper panels in each pair of panels show the simulated evolution of the epidemics without interve...
<p>Each plot shows the median (diamonds) and 95% predictive interval for the proportion of cases ave...
<p>A scatter plot showing the percentage number of times each individual was infected during the 150...
Left: Distributions of cumulative infections over the 70-day training period across 1,000 replicate ...
<p>Black line with circles denote reported cases (e.g., in (a), in the form of square-root) and repo...
Simulation pairs varied with respect to the proportion of vaccine efficacy due to protection from in...
<p>The black dashed line is the confirmed cases which could be regarded as the baseline (i.e. no int...
<p>Colors in each panel represent the cumulative incidence ratio, comparing cumulative incidence amo...
Simulation pairs varied with respect to the proportion of vaccine efficacy due to protection from in...
From left to right, columns show increases in the proportion immune upon arrival. From top to bottom...
Bars display point estimates and 95% confidence intervals obtained from fitting generalized additive...
Peak dates for the global mean prevalence curve, peak prevalence, mean area not infected and mean fi...
<p>(A) Zimbabwe. (B) Port-au-Prince, Haiti. (C) Conakry, Guinea. Simulated campaigns had enough vacc...
Red = control group, blue = vaccinated group. Green dashed line = antibody threshold that gives grea...
<p>Panel (a) presents the cumulative number of fatalities under the baseline and annual vaccination ...
<p>Upper panels in each pair of panels show the simulated evolution of the epidemics without interve...
<p>Each plot shows the median (diamonds) and 95% predictive interval for the proportion of cases ave...
<p>A scatter plot showing the percentage number of times each individual was infected during the 150...
Left: Distributions of cumulative infections over the 70-day training period across 1,000 replicate ...
<p>Black line with circles denote reported cases (e.g., in (a), in the form of square-root) and repo...
Simulation pairs varied with respect to the proportion of vaccine efficacy due to protection from in...
<p>The black dashed line is the confirmed cases which could be regarded as the baseline (i.e. no int...
<p>Colors in each panel represent the cumulative incidence ratio, comparing cumulative incidence amo...
Simulation pairs varied with respect to the proportion of vaccine efficacy due to protection from in...
From left to right, columns show increases in the proportion immune upon arrival. From top to bottom...
Bars display point estimates and 95% confidence intervals obtained from fitting generalized additive...
Peak dates for the global mean prevalence curve, peak prevalence, mean area not infected and mean fi...
<p>(A) Zimbabwe. (B) Port-au-Prince, Haiti. (C) Conakry, Guinea. Simulated campaigns had enough vacc...
Red = control group, blue = vaccinated group. Green dashed line = antibody threshold that gives grea...
<p>Panel (a) presents the cumulative number of fatalities under the baseline and annual vaccination ...