Comparison of ZINB model predictions of endemic prevalence (gray) and experimental observations of endemic prevalence (white) in each replicate population.

ZINB model predictions of endemic prevalence were generated for each replicate population in the constant and variable temperature treatment. On the x-axis, each replicate population is indicated by a “C” or “V” denoting that it is from the constant or variable temperature treatment and a number that identifies the replicate population. The ZINB model predictions of endemic prevalence relatively match experimental observations of endemic prevalence in each replicate population thus indicating that the model well describes the data. The data underlying this figure can be found in S1 Data. ZINB, zero-inflated negative binomial.