<p>A: cumulative incidence (total number of symptomatic cases) over a 28-year simulation as a function of various transmission rates. B: Seroprevalence as a function of transmission rate and stratified by infected subpopulation: black bars = asymptomatically infected fawns, gray bars = all other seropositive fawns, white bars = asymptomatically infected does and striped bars = all other seropositive does. The dashed black line corresponds to the second y-axis and indicates the probability of currently being asymptomatically infected given a seropositive status. Default parameters as in <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0061501#pone-0061501-t002" target="_blank">Table 2</a>.</p
<p>The straight gray lines show the actual emergence timing, and the dashed line shows the timing wh...
For each accepted particle, the process was simulated again, and the total number of infected indivi...
<p>This relationship is predicted to be dependent on the underlying proportion of ‘resistant’ infect...
(A) The observed (dots) and expected (line) number of cases reported annually. Shaded area represent...
<p>(A) Pre-pandemic seroprevalence (green), post-pandemic seroprevalence (red) and difference betwee...
<p>This prediction is plotted with a 10% threshold for the percentage of patients positive on day-3 ...
<p>The relative cumulative incidence of severe RVGE after versus before vaccine introduction in indi...
<p>10-step ahead (50 day) predictions for all of SAB (A) and Bandim (B) with 95% predictive interval...
(A) FOI as a function of the fraction of the susceptibles to primary and secondary infections for ch...
<p>(A) The proportion of the population contracting an introduced infection is depicted as a functio...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
<p>A) Pointwise prediction bands for the symptomatic infections produced by the model. B) The change...
Left: Distributions of cumulative infections over the 70-day training period across 1,000 replicate ...
We estimated the contribution of asymptomatic and clinical infections to R0 (the basic reproductive ...
<p>(<i>A</i>) Diagram of model structure. Model parameters are defined in <a href="http://www.plosnt...
<p>The straight gray lines show the actual emergence timing, and the dashed line shows the timing wh...
For each accepted particle, the process was simulated again, and the total number of infected indivi...
<p>This relationship is predicted to be dependent on the underlying proportion of ‘resistant’ infect...
(A) The observed (dots) and expected (line) number of cases reported annually. Shaded area represent...
<p>(A) Pre-pandemic seroprevalence (green), post-pandemic seroprevalence (red) and difference betwee...
<p>This prediction is plotted with a 10% threshold for the percentage of patients positive on day-3 ...
<p>The relative cumulative incidence of severe RVGE after versus before vaccine introduction in indi...
<p>10-step ahead (50 day) predictions for all of SAB (A) and Bandim (B) with 95% predictive interval...
(A) FOI as a function of the fraction of the susceptibles to primary and secondary infections for ch...
<p>(A) The proportion of the population contracting an introduced infection is depicted as a functio...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
<p>A) Pointwise prediction bands for the symptomatic infections produced by the model. B) The change...
Left: Distributions of cumulative infections over the 70-day training period across 1,000 replicate ...
We estimated the contribution of asymptomatic and clinical infections to R0 (the basic reproductive ...
<p>(<i>A</i>) Diagram of model structure. Model parameters are defined in <a href="http://www.plosnt...
<p>The straight gray lines show the actual emergence timing, and the dashed line shows the timing wh...
For each accepted particle, the process was simulated again, and the total number of infected indivi...
<p>This relationship is predicted to be dependent on the underlying proportion of ‘resistant’ infect...