Experimental data of host infection burden during the endemic phase in the constant (yellow) and variable (blue) temperature treatments. For each replicate population, observations of host infection burden at the endemic phase are pooled across days. Each constant treatment histogram is indicated in yellow, and populations are indicated by a “C” and a number that identifies the population. Each variable treatment histogram is indicated in blue, and populations are indicated by a “V” and a number that identifies the population. The data underlying this figure can be found in S1 Data. (TIF)</p
(A) and (B) illustrate the posteriors for the negative binomial component of the model fit, where th...
<p>(A) 1280 patches of size 25, longest simulation run, note only three patches infected, (B) 128 pa...
<p>Each distinct curve represents simulations from a unique randomly obtained, physiological paramet...
Replicate time series of (A) infection prevalence and (B) mean infection burden across sampled hosts...
Estimates under constant environmental conditions fall on the vertical dashed line, representing end...
The mean and standard deviation of experimental temperatures were calculated for each replicate popu...
<p>The red curve represents the maximum number of humans in the infected class (<i>I</i><sub><i>H</i...
Gray boxes are observed estimates from our experiment. White and black boxes are predicted data from...
The ZINB and logistic regression models were re-fit to a series of candidate days for the first day ...
<p>(A) depicts the time course of the proportion of transmissions of the invader strain that involve...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
ZINB model predictions of endemic prevalence were generated for each replicate population in the con...
(A) Weekly carriage data measured during the i-Bird experiment. Each S. aureus strain’s abundance ti...
Panels (A) and (B) both compare endemic prevalence in constant (yellow curve) and variable (blue cur...
<p>Left panel for the ratio of susceptibles and right panel for the infected individuals, while red,...
(A) and (B) illustrate the posteriors for the negative binomial component of the model fit, where th...
<p>(A) 1280 patches of size 25, longest simulation run, note only three patches infected, (B) 128 pa...
<p>Each distinct curve represents simulations from a unique randomly obtained, physiological paramet...
Replicate time series of (A) infection prevalence and (B) mean infection burden across sampled hosts...
Estimates under constant environmental conditions fall on the vertical dashed line, representing end...
The mean and standard deviation of experimental temperatures were calculated for each replicate popu...
<p>The red curve represents the maximum number of humans in the infected class (<i>I</i><sub><i>H</i...
Gray boxes are observed estimates from our experiment. White and black boxes are predicted data from...
The ZINB and logistic regression models were re-fit to a series of candidate days for the first day ...
<p>(A) depicts the time course of the proportion of transmissions of the invader strain that involve...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
ZINB model predictions of endemic prevalence were generated for each replicate population in the con...
(A) Weekly carriage data measured during the i-Bird experiment. Each S. aureus strain’s abundance ti...
Panels (A) and (B) both compare endemic prevalence in constant (yellow curve) and variable (blue cur...
<p>Left panel for the ratio of susceptibles and right panel for the infected individuals, while red,...
(A) and (B) illustrate the posteriors for the negative binomial component of the model fit, where th...
<p>(A) 1280 patches of size 25, longest simulation run, note only three patches infected, (B) 128 pa...
<p>Each distinct curve represents simulations from a unique randomly obtained, physiological paramet...