<p>Each column shows a different population of introduction characteristic: (A,D) population size (log scale), (B,E) the number of commuters traveling to the population of introduction relative to the population size of the location, and (C,F) the number of commuters traveling from the location of introduction relative to the population size of the location. The first row (A-C) shows the probability of at least one autochthonous case, and the second row (D-F) shows the median number of cases that occurred within 100 days of introduction (log scale). These relationships were generated from the model output presented in the <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0161365#pone.0161365.g002" target="_blank">Fig 2</...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
<p>Panel (A) shows the average observed population density as a function of the population density p...
The results from simulations of outbreaks for 7 example pathogens (influenza, SARS-CoV-2, measles, E...
<p>The final size of the local epidemic (A) and the time until the infected individuals first appear...
<p>Columns of panels correspond to each of the three outbreaks: the Stoke-on-Trent outbreak (A,D), t...
a) The number of currently infected individuals is plotted versus time for different values of the i...
<p>The probability of a global epidemic, , as a function of the home population size (horizontal axi...
(A) Proportion of infected travellers detected relative to infection time, in a scenario with incide...
<p>A: cumulative incidence (total number of symptomatic cases) over a 28-year simulation as a functi...
<p>(A) The probability of detecting local transmission at different reporting rates (<i>r</i>) for d...
From left to right, columns show increases in the proportion immune upon arrival. From top to bottom...
<p>Parameter estimates for the four census sites, obtained from the model (cf. <a href="http://www....
<p>This simulation consisted of 1019 cases of which 119 (12%) were infected by other cases. In total...
<p>In (a), outbreak risk (red, left axis) and impact (black, right axis) are plotted with respect to...
<p>We initialize the disease by infecting 10 individuals from each specific airport (see inset), and...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
<p>Panel (A) shows the average observed population density as a function of the population density p...
The results from simulations of outbreaks for 7 example pathogens (influenza, SARS-CoV-2, measles, E...
<p>The final size of the local epidemic (A) and the time until the infected individuals first appear...
<p>Columns of panels correspond to each of the three outbreaks: the Stoke-on-Trent outbreak (A,D), t...
a) The number of currently infected individuals is plotted versus time for different values of the i...
<p>The probability of a global epidemic, , as a function of the home population size (horizontal axi...
(A) Proportion of infected travellers detected relative to infection time, in a scenario with incide...
<p>A: cumulative incidence (total number of symptomatic cases) over a 28-year simulation as a functi...
<p>(A) The probability of detecting local transmission at different reporting rates (<i>r</i>) for d...
From left to right, columns show increases in the proportion immune upon arrival. From top to bottom...
<p>Parameter estimates for the four census sites, obtained from the model (cf. <a href="http://www....
<p>This simulation consisted of 1019 cases of which 119 (12%) were infected by other cases. In total...
<p>In (a), outbreak risk (red, left axis) and impact (black, right axis) are plotted with respect to...
<p>We initialize the disease by infecting 10 individuals from each specific airport (see inset), and...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
<p>Panel (A) shows the average observed population density as a function of the population density p...
The results from simulations of outbreaks for 7 example pathogens (influenza, SARS-CoV-2, measles, E...