The results from simulations of outbreaks for 7 example pathogens (influenza, SARS-CoV-2, measles, Ebola, pertussis, P. falciparum malaria, and Tuberculosis). For each pathogen, outbreaks were introduced into each of the 105 districts in Namibia and the change in spatial predictability for successive generations was calculated. The heatmaps and contour lines show values of spatial predictability (ϕ) as they change over successive generations (x-axis) and the population density of the introduction district (y-axis). The number of days since the introduction is indicated on the top-axis. Annotations in the lower right indicate the pathogen, basic reproduction number (R0), generation time in days (γ), and proportion of the population that is s...
Background: Zoonotic diseases account for more than 70% of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs). Due ...
Infectious diseases impose a critical challenge to human, animal, and plant health. Emerging and ree...
Background: Zoonotic diseases account for more than 70% of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs). Due ...
A) A heatmap with contour lines showing the values of initial spatial predictability (ϕ) calculated ...
Example pathogens are indicated by colored lines: influenza, SARS-CoV-2, measles, Ebola, pertussis, ...
The left figure shows the theoretical change in spatial predictability for a travel network with one...
Forecasting the spatiotemporal spread of infectious diseases during an outbreak is an important comp...
During transmission of seasonal endemic diseases such as measles and influenza, spatial waves of inf...
<div><p>The emergence of novel respiratory pathogens can challenge the capacity of key health care r...
Objective: The purpose of spatial modelling in animal and public health is three-fold: describing ex...
The emergence of novel respiratory pathogens can challenge the capacity of key health care resources...
The application of spatial modelling to epidemiology has increased significantly over the past decad...
We present a spatial variant of the time series susceptible-infectious-recovered (TSIR) stochastic p...
Epidemics have caused major human and monetary losses through the course of human civilization. It i...
Poikilothermic disease vectors can respond to altered climates through spatial changes in both popul...
Background: Zoonotic diseases account for more than 70% of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs). Due ...
Infectious diseases impose a critical challenge to human, animal, and plant health. Emerging and ree...
Background: Zoonotic diseases account for more than 70% of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs). Due ...
A) A heatmap with contour lines showing the values of initial spatial predictability (ϕ) calculated ...
Example pathogens are indicated by colored lines: influenza, SARS-CoV-2, measles, Ebola, pertussis, ...
The left figure shows the theoretical change in spatial predictability for a travel network with one...
Forecasting the spatiotemporal spread of infectious diseases during an outbreak is an important comp...
During transmission of seasonal endemic diseases such as measles and influenza, spatial waves of inf...
<div><p>The emergence of novel respiratory pathogens can challenge the capacity of key health care r...
Objective: The purpose of spatial modelling in animal and public health is three-fold: describing ex...
The emergence of novel respiratory pathogens can challenge the capacity of key health care resources...
The application of spatial modelling to epidemiology has increased significantly over the past decad...
We present a spatial variant of the time series susceptible-infectious-recovered (TSIR) stochastic p...
Epidemics have caused major human and monetary losses through the course of human civilization. It i...
Poikilothermic disease vectors can respond to altered climates through spatial changes in both popul...
Background: Zoonotic diseases account for more than 70% of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs). Due ...
Infectious diseases impose a critical challenge to human, animal, and plant health. Emerging and ree...
Background: Zoonotic diseases account for more than 70% of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs). Due ...