Add to ORKGWhy do polling predictions for the UK’s general election vary so widely? Patrick Sturgis and Will Jennings argue that turnout might prove the be the pollsters’ Achilles heel in this occasion. Getting its weighting right is likely to be both more difficult and more consequential than it was in 2015, because the age gap in party support has increased since the last election
This Forum article considers the unsatisfactory results of pre-election opinion polling in the 2015...
Many of the lessons from the polling debacle of 1992 have been learned, but it may be time to addres...
At 10pm on election day, the ballots will close, and the counting will begin. It may be many hours b...
Studies using data from the British Election Study and the British Social Attitudes survey have conc...
In the aftermath of the 2017 UK General Election, some claimed that Labour performed unexpectedly we...
Will Jennings examines the opinion polls in the 2017 election, showing how they tracked movements in...
In this post, Pete Dorey discusses historical trends in voter turnout and ‘top two’ party voting in ...
Polling Matters is an independent, non-partisan podcast providing expert polling news and analysis, ...
Less than a year after the election, average polls suggest that Labour continue to poll at about the...
In a recent Guardian article, Simon Jenkins suggested that voter decisions regarding the EU referend...
Are ordinary citizens better at predicting election results than conventional voter intention polls?...
The U.K. Political Studies Association today released the results of its survey of expert prediction...
The opinion polls undertaken prior to the 2015 UK General Election under-estimated the Conservative ...
The 2010 general election result was considerably biased in Labour’s favour: if they and Conservativ...
The opinion polls that were undertaken before the 2015 UK general election underestimated the Conser...
This Forum article considers the unsatisfactory results of pre-election opinion polling in the 2015...
Many of the lessons from the polling debacle of 1992 have been learned, but it may be time to addres...
At 10pm on election day, the ballots will close, and the counting will begin. It may be many hours b...
Studies using data from the British Election Study and the British Social Attitudes survey have conc...
In the aftermath of the 2017 UK General Election, some claimed that Labour performed unexpectedly we...
Will Jennings examines the opinion polls in the 2017 election, showing how they tracked movements in...
In this post, Pete Dorey discusses historical trends in voter turnout and ‘top two’ party voting in ...
Polling Matters is an independent, non-partisan podcast providing expert polling news and analysis, ...
Less than a year after the election, average polls suggest that Labour continue to poll at about the...
In a recent Guardian article, Simon Jenkins suggested that voter decisions regarding the EU referend...
Are ordinary citizens better at predicting election results than conventional voter intention polls?...
The U.K. Political Studies Association today released the results of its survey of expert prediction...
The opinion polls undertaken prior to the 2015 UK General Election under-estimated the Conservative ...
The 2010 general election result was considerably biased in Labour’s favour: if they and Conservativ...
The opinion polls that were undertaken before the 2015 UK general election underestimated the Conser...
This Forum article considers the unsatisfactory results of pre-election opinion polling in the 2015...
Many of the lessons from the polling debacle of 1992 have been learned, but it may be time to addres...
At 10pm on election day, the ballots will close, and the counting will begin. It may be many hours b...