Expert predictions of the 2016 EU referendum

The U.K. Political Studies Association today released the results of its survey of expert predictions of the 2016 EU referendum. The survey was distributed to members of the Association as well as a large number of survey researchers from major polling companies in Britain and to journalists from the print and broadcast media. We asked respondents to share their predictions of the outcome, the probability of Britain voting leaving the EU, the final vote shares for each side, and the level of turnout