How do prime ministers manage investors' expectations during financial crises? We take a novel approach to this question by investigating ministerial appointments. When prime ministers appoint technocrats, defined as non-partisan experts, they forgo political benefits and can credibly signal their willingness to pay down their debt obligations. This reduces bond yields, but only at times when the market is sensitive to expected repayments---i.e., during crises. To examine the theory, we develop an event study analysis that employs new data on the background of finance ministers in 21 Western and Eastern European democracies. We find that investors reward technocratic appointments by reducing a country's borrowing costs. Consistent with the ...
This paper compares default incentives in competitive sovereign debt markets when leaders can be eit...
While acknowledging that the sustainability of sovereign debt is a serious issue that must be confro...
Autocracies have traditionally been thought more spendthrift than democracies which manage money pru...
How do prime ministers manage investors' expectations during financial crises? We take a novel appro...
Why do prime ministers or presidents appoint non-elected experts, also known as technocrats, during ...
During the current debt crisis in Europe a number of unelected ministers and even prime- ministers h...
We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments’ popularity, predict financial cri...
During the euro crisis policy-makers tried to re-establish credibility with austere budgets. Studies...
Why do bailout packages often fail to restore market confidence? Outlining results from a recent stu...
Political booms, measured by the rise in governments’ popularity, predict financial crises above and...
Governments led by nonpartisan, technocratic' prime ministers are a rare phenomenon in parliamentary...
In this paper, I explain variations in international investors’ reactions to International Monetary ...
The main goal of the paper is to explain the role of expectations in austerity cycles during financi...
This paper compares default incentives in competitive sovereign debt markets when leaders can be eit...
Whilst democracy facilitates stabilization, political uncertainty around elections can be costly to ...
This paper compares default incentives in competitive sovereign debt markets when leaders can be eit...
While acknowledging that the sustainability of sovereign debt is a serious issue that must be confro...
Autocracies have traditionally been thought more spendthrift than democracies which manage money pru...
How do prime ministers manage investors' expectations during financial crises? We take a novel appro...
Why do prime ministers or presidents appoint non-elected experts, also known as technocrats, during ...
During the current debt crisis in Europe a number of unelected ministers and even prime- ministers h...
We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments’ popularity, predict financial cri...
During the euro crisis policy-makers tried to re-establish credibility with austere budgets. Studies...
Why do bailout packages often fail to restore market confidence? Outlining results from a recent stu...
Political booms, measured by the rise in governments’ popularity, predict financial crises above and...
Governments led by nonpartisan, technocratic' prime ministers are a rare phenomenon in parliamentary...
In this paper, I explain variations in international investors’ reactions to International Monetary ...
The main goal of the paper is to explain the role of expectations in austerity cycles during financi...
This paper compares default incentives in competitive sovereign debt markets when leaders can be eit...
Whilst democracy facilitates stabilization, political uncertainty around elections can be costly to ...
This paper compares default incentives in competitive sovereign debt markets when leaders can be eit...
While acknowledging that the sustainability of sovereign debt is a serious issue that must be confro...
Autocracies have traditionally been thought more spendthrift than democracies which manage money pru...