중력모형을 적용한 서비스 무역 비교: OECD국가와 비OECD 국가를 중심으로

학위논문 (석사)-- 서울대학교 국제대학원 : 국제학과, 2014. 8. Rhee, Yeongseop.Background: This study conducts an analysis to investigate the determinants of international service trade flows by utilizing the gravity model and it compares the results of the gravity analysis of OECD and non-OECD countries. Method: Least-square regression method is utilized to conduct this research. Data collected from UN Service Trade, the World Bank, CEPII, and World Trade Organization are combined and used. Service trade value is used as dependent variable. GDP, per capita GDP, population, distance, contiguous, RTA, language, and colony are used as independent variables. Results: Gravity model works for service trade with a higher explanatory power for OECD service trade. Independent variables have larger effects on non-OECD service trade. Conclusions: Service trade of non-OECD countries is much more sensitive to the distance and to the changes in economic size and individual income. RTA and language, too, have larger impact on service trade of non-OECD countries.1. INTRODUCTION 1 2. LITERATURE REVIEW 5 2.1 Definition of Services 5 2.2 Gravity Model 7 2.3 Service Trade and Gravity Model 8 2.4 Objectives 11 3. METHOD 13 3.1 Data and Variables 13 3.2 Model 16 4. RESULTS 18 4.1 Service Exports and Gravity Model 18 4.2 Service Imports and Gravity Model 21 4.3 Service Exports – A Comparison of OECD and Non-OECD Countries 24 4.4 Service Imports – A Comparison of OECD and Non-OECD Countries 28 5. DISCUSSION 32 6. LIMITATIONS 35 7. CONCLUSIONS 36 REFERENCES 37 APPENDIX 39 More on Dependent Variable 39 Home Country List 39 Partner Country List 39 RTA List 40 Databases 45Maste