깊은 경제적 통합과 글로벌 가치사슬: 무역협정의 통합수준이 글로벌 가치사슬 무역에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증분석

학위논문 (석사)-- 서울대학교 대학원 : 국제대학원 국제학과(국제통상전공), 2018. 8. 김종섭.The main purpose of this thesis is to show how the depth of preferential trade agreements (PTAs) impacts trade related to global value chains (GVCs), defined as imports of parts and components and foreign value added in gross exports. The importance of GVCs has grown over the last few decadesat the same time, the number of PTAs has increased dramatically since the 1990s. In this period, there has also been a shift in the agenda of PTAs towards deeper integration policies, from the traditional focus on reducing tariffs to an emphasis on behind-the-border policies such as trade-related investment issues, services, competition, intellectual property rights, etc. This paper presents empirical evidence on how PTA depth impacts GVC-related trade using a gravity model with multiple fixed effects. A panel data set consisting of observations on 191 countries from 1995 to 2015 is constructed when the dependent variable is designated as imports of parts and components while another set on 61 countries for the period of 1995, 2005, 2008 – 2011 is collected for foreign value added in gross exports. Overall, the findings show that PTA depth has a significant and positive influence on GVC-related trade. Furthermore, the results of an analysis to test this relationship, with countries categorized as developed or developing, reveal that only deeper agreements between developed countries lead to increased GVC trade.Abstract 5 Tables and Figures . 7 I. Introduction . 8 1.1 Background and Overview of the Study . 8 1.2 Hypotheses Formulation . 11 II. Literature Review 14 2.1 Depth of Preferential Trade Agreements . 14 2.2 Preferential Trade Agreement Depth and GVC-related Trade 18 III. Empirical Analysis . 21 3.1 Data Sources and Variable Definitions . 21 3.1.1 GVC-related Trade Variables 21 3.1.2 PTA Depth Variables 28 3.1.3 Other Variables . 33 3.2 Empirical Model . 35 3.3 Results and Interpretation 38 3.3.1 The Effect of PTA depth on GVC-related Trade 38 3.3.2 The Country Group Effect of PTA depth on GVC-related Trade . 40 IV. Conclusion 43 4.1 Conclusion and Contribution to Literature 43 4.2 Limitations and Further Research . 45 Bibliography . 47 Appendix A. List of Countries Imports of parts and components . 52 Appendix B. List of Countries Foreign value added in gross exports . 53 Appendix C. List of Preferential Trade Agreements 54 Appendix D. List of Parts and Components 57 국문 초록 (Abstract in Korean) 58Maste