Context. We consider the three-body mean motion resonance defined by the Jovian moons Io, Europa, and Ganymede, which is commonly known as the Laplace resonance. In terms of the moons' mean longitudes lambda(1) (Io), lambda(2) (Europa), and lambda(3) (Ganymede), this resonance is described by the librating argument phi(L) lambda(1) - 3 lambda(2) + 2 lambda(3)( )approximate to 180 degrees, which is the sum of phi(12) lambda(1) - 2 lambda(2) + pi(2) approximate to 180 degrees and phi(23) lambda(2) - 2 lambda(3) pi(2)( )approximate to 0 degrees, where pi(2) denotes Europa's longitude of perijove.Aims. In particular, we construct approximate models for the evolution of the librating argument phi(L) over the period of 100 yr, focusing on its pri...