Add to ORKGSimon Hix and Nick Vivyan discuss polling predictions and the likelihood of a hung parliament. Please note that these predictions are based on data gathered up to 2 March. This will be updated early next week
Each month, the team from electionforecast.co.uk compare new constituency polls as they are released...
Most opinion polls conducted during British general election campaigns report on each party’s estima...
It is currently likely that no party will be a clear winner in next May’s General Election. What is ...
We have updated our election prediction model, based on national voting intention results from all p...
We have updated our election prediction model, based on national voting intention results from all p...
This paper outlines and discusses techniques for three stages in forecasting parliamentary seats fro...
Can citizens forecast the outcome of the UK election? In this post, Andreas Murr presents the result...
Each month, the team from electionforecast.co.uk compare new constituency polls as they are released...
This paper applies the Seats-Votes Model to the task of forecasting the outcome of the 2015 election...
Forecasting election results is hard. Forecasting UK election results is even harder. Forecasting in...
Last week, a group of academics gathered at LSE to discuss a variety of forecasting models. In this ...
This paper develops a three-stage method to forecast parliamentary election results from vote prefer...
This paper discusses a new probabilistic forecasting method that was designed for the 2015 British g...
We describe a method for forecasting British general elections by combining national and constituenc...
This paper examines two rival forecasting models of election outcomes for Britain. The first is a mo...
Each month, the team from electionforecast.co.uk compare new constituency polls as they are released...
Most opinion polls conducted during British general election campaigns report on each party’s estima...
It is currently likely that no party will be a clear winner in next May’s General Election. What is ...
We have updated our election prediction model, based on national voting intention results from all p...
We have updated our election prediction model, based on national voting intention results from all p...
This paper outlines and discusses techniques for three stages in forecasting parliamentary seats fro...
Can citizens forecast the outcome of the UK election? In this post, Andreas Murr presents the result...
Each month, the team from electionforecast.co.uk compare new constituency polls as they are released...
This paper applies the Seats-Votes Model to the task of forecasting the outcome of the 2015 election...
Forecasting election results is hard. Forecasting UK election results is even harder. Forecasting in...
Last week, a group of academics gathered at LSE to discuss a variety of forecasting models. In this ...
This paper develops a three-stage method to forecast parliamentary election results from vote prefer...
This paper discusses a new probabilistic forecasting method that was designed for the 2015 British g...
We describe a method for forecasting British general elections by combining national and constituenc...
This paper examines two rival forecasting models of election outcomes for Britain. The first is a mo...
Each month, the team from electionforecast.co.uk compare new constituency polls as they are released...
Most opinion polls conducted during British general election campaigns report on each party’s estima...
It is currently likely that no party will be a clear winner in next May’s General Election. What is ...