<p>Broken line: susceptible; solid line: infected. CA<sub>AW</sub>: Cumulative attack rate (adults, with whole population as the denominator); CA<sub>CW</sub>: Cumulative attack rate (children, with whole population as the denominator). Infection was re-introduced into the population on day 300. The intervention (<i>f<sub>AA</sub></i> = <i>f<sub>AC</sub></i> = <i>f<sub>CA</sub></i> = <i>f<sub>CC</sub></i> = 1) started on day 100 (when the children’s epidemic is at its peak) and lasted until the first outbreak was over. β<sub>AC</sub> = β<sub>CA</sub> = 0; R<sub>0A</sub> = 1.25; R<sub>0C</sub> = 2. 50% adults; 50% children. All other parameters and initial conditions are listed in <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/jour...
<p>(<b>A</b>) A schematic of pathogen emergence. This graph shows the early stages of several strain...
<p>Sixty parameterizations of strain-transcending immunity (strength and duration) were simulated. W...
<div><p>(A) Plots an example of the replication rate <i>r</i>(<i>t</i>) and the killing rate <i>k</i...
<p>Broken line: susceptible; solid line: infected. In the right panel, the black and gray broken lin...
<p>β<sub>AC</sub> = 0.01 * β<sub>AA</sub>; β<sub>CA</sub> = 0.01 * β<sub>CC</sub> (upper row); β<sub...
<p>In the upper row, the denominator in the adults’ and children’s CA is the whole population (S<sub...
<p>Transmission between adults and children was 1% of intra-group transmission (β<sub>AC</sub> = 0.0...
<p>The legend colour panel displays CA<sub>W</sub>. β<sub>AC</sub> = 0.01 * β<sub>AA</sub>; β<sub>CA...
<p>The lower figure represents the case in which the mitigation strategies, as described in the text...
<p>(A) depicts the time course of the proportion of transmissions of the invader strain that involve...
<p>Values of R<sub>0A</sub> are varied: R<sub>0A</sub> = 1.25 (left); 1.5 (middle); 1.75 (right). Fo...
<p>Panel A shows the number of susceptibles and infecteds during an outbreak with <i>R</i><sub>0</su...
<p>Lines show the proportion of the host population infected at a particular time, and each panel sh...
Several aspects of treatment disruptions were simulated in a factorial manner, including duration of...
Left: Distributions of cumulative infections over the 70-day training period across 1,000 replicate ...
<p>(<b>A</b>) A schematic of pathogen emergence. This graph shows the early stages of several strain...
<p>Sixty parameterizations of strain-transcending immunity (strength and duration) were simulated. W...
<div><p>(A) Plots an example of the replication rate <i>r</i>(<i>t</i>) and the killing rate <i>k</i...
<p>Broken line: susceptible; solid line: infected. In the right panel, the black and gray broken lin...
<p>β<sub>AC</sub> = 0.01 * β<sub>AA</sub>; β<sub>CA</sub> = 0.01 * β<sub>CC</sub> (upper row); β<sub...
<p>In the upper row, the denominator in the adults’ and children’s CA is the whole population (S<sub...
<p>Transmission between adults and children was 1% of intra-group transmission (β<sub>AC</sub> = 0.0...
<p>The legend colour panel displays CA<sub>W</sub>. β<sub>AC</sub> = 0.01 * β<sub>AA</sub>; β<sub>CA...
<p>The lower figure represents the case in which the mitigation strategies, as described in the text...
<p>(A) depicts the time course of the proportion of transmissions of the invader strain that involve...
<p>Values of R<sub>0A</sub> are varied: R<sub>0A</sub> = 1.25 (left); 1.5 (middle); 1.75 (right). Fo...
<p>Panel A shows the number of susceptibles and infecteds during an outbreak with <i>R</i><sub>0</su...
<p>Lines show the proportion of the host population infected at a particular time, and each panel sh...
Several aspects of treatment disruptions were simulated in a factorial manner, including duration of...
Left: Distributions of cumulative infections over the 70-day training period across 1,000 replicate ...
<p>(<b>A</b>) A schematic of pathogen emergence. This graph shows the early stages of several strain...
<p>Sixty parameterizations of strain-transcending immunity (strength and duration) were simulated. W...
<div><p>(A) Plots an example of the replication rate <i>r</i>(<i>t</i>) and the killing rate <i>k</i...