<p>Panel A: Outbreak probability as given by the fraction of primary infections causing at least one secondary infection. The dashed line shows the outbreak probability of the time-aggregated network, i.e. the fraction of nodes with non-vanishing out-degree. Panel B: Average out-components of primary infections, i.e. the <i>number</i> of follow-up infections. The 50% confidence interval is indicated by the shaded area. Only for a significant fraction of the network can be infected. For increasing , both values approach a saturation. For days, approximately every second primary infection will cause follow-up infections which will reach on average of the network. Both numbers are significantly lower than their counterparts in the static n...
<p>Fraction of times an epidemic outbreak with size is observed at time . The results correspond t...
For each of 5000 selections of a random single seed, two simulations on the encounter network, one o...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
Left: Distributions of cumulative infections over the 70-day training period across 1,000 replicate ...
a) The number of currently infected individuals is plotted versus time for different values of the i...
From left to right, columns show increases from 0 to 0.01 to 0.10 of the probability that trainers a...
<p>Panel A shows the size of the out-component for an exemplary node as a function of . For many ti...
<p>(A) Final fraction of non-infected subjects as a function of the infective time and the infecti...
<p>For each network model, shown are the mean (with 95% confidence intervals) over 100 simulated net...
<p>Dashed line indicates the expected imbalance for trees of this size <a href="http://www.ploscompb...
<p>Vertical coordinate shows the mean incidence rate of re-infection infection in weeks 131–156, cal...
<p>For each network model, shown are the mean (with 95% confidence intervals) over 100 simulated net...
<p>Columns of panels correspond to each of the three outbreaks: the Stoke-on-Trent outbreak (A,D), t...
From left to right, columns show increases in the proportion immune upon arrival. From top to bottom...
Charts showing the change in average number of agents infected, the percent of runs leading to outbr...
<p>Fraction of times an epidemic outbreak with size is observed at time . The results correspond t...
For each of 5000 selections of a random single seed, two simulations on the encounter network, one o...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...
Left: Distributions of cumulative infections over the 70-day training period across 1,000 replicate ...
a) The number of currently infected individuals is plotted versus time for different values of the i...
From left to right, columns show increases from 0 to 0.01 to 0.10 of the probability that trainers a...
<p>Panel A shows the size of the out-component for an exemplary node as a function of . For many ti...
<p>(A) Final fraction of non-infected subjects as a function of the infective time and the infecti...
<p>For each network model, shown are the mean (with 95% confidence intervals) over 100 simulated net...
<p>Dashed line indicates the expected imbalance for trees of this size <a href="http://www.ploscompb...
<p>Vertical coordinate shows the mean incidence rate of re-infection infection in weeks 131–156, cal...
<p>For each network model, shown are the mean (with 95% confidence intervals) over 100 simulated net...
<p>Columns of panels correspond to each of the three outbreaks: the Stoke-on-Trent outbreak (A,D), t...
From left to right, columns show increases in the proportion immune upon arrival. From top to bottom...
Charts showing the change in average number of agents infected, the percent of runs leading to outbr...
<p>Fraction of times an epidemic outbreak with size is observed at time . The results correspond t...
For each of 5000 selections of a random single seed, two simulations on the encounter network, one o...
<p>Each point of the scatter plots corresponds to one pair (λ,δ), where λ is the infection probabili...