<div><p>Effect of time delay until intervention on outbreak size is contrasted for outbreaks with <i>R</i><sub>0</sub> = 2 (solid lines) and <i>R</i><sub>0</sub> ≈ 1.1 (dashed lines).</p> <p>(A) Average outbreak size (<i>y</i>-axis) increases with the number of days until intervention (<i>x</i>-axis).</p> <p>(B) CV in outbreak size (<i>y</i>-axis) increases with the number of days until intervention (<i>x</i>-axis).</p> <p>(C) CV in outbreak size (<i>y</i>-axis) increases at a declining rate (i.e., levels off) as the average outbreak size increases (<i>x</i>-axis). Note that the CV in final outbreak size increases faster in the outbreak with lower <i>R</i><sub>0</sub>.</p></div
Introduction: Epidemic curves are a type of time series data consisting of the number of events that...
<p>Components of the delay in at-risk country following initiation. (A) Results of 10,000 simulation...
Emerging diseases must make a transition from stuttering chains of transmission to sustained chains ...
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Early warning systems for outbreaks of infectious diseases are an importa...
<p>Given population density, 60 simulation replicates were run for each vaccination diffusion rate <...
<p>A. Conditional on persistence, estimates of <i>R</i><sub>0</sub> improve as the outbreak progress...
The top figure shows the response to an outbreak on day zero (100 exposed individuals). Under feedba...
a) The number of currently infected individuals is plotted versus time for different values of the i...
<p>The expected final outbreak size (solid line) and CV in the final outbreak size (dashed line) are...
Which case-based intervention measures should be applied during an epidemic outbreak depends on how ...
<p>(a)-(c) and (d)-(f), simulations of the populations of infectious livestock and vectors in patche...
We combine infectious disease transmission and the non-pharmaceutical (NPI) intervention response to...
Effects of treatment delay on disease infectivity, severity, and treatment efficacy.</p
<p>The stochastic combined mean final epidemic size 〈<i>E</i>〉 as a function of the fractional alloc...
<p>(a)-(c) and (d)-(f), simulations of the populations of exposed livestock and vectors in patches 1...
Introduction: Epidemic curves are a type of time series data consisting of the number of events that...
<p>Components of the delay in at-risk country following initiation. (A) Results of 10,000 simulation...
Emerging diseases must make a transition from stuttering chains of transmission to sustained chains ...
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Early warning systems for outbreaks of infectious diseases are an importa...
<p>Given population density, 60 simulation replicates were run for each vaccination diffusion rate <...
<p>A. Conditional on persistence, estimates of <i>R</i><sub>0</sub> improve as the outbreak progress...
The top figure shows the response to an outbreak on day zero (100 exposed individuals). Under feedba...
a) The number of currently infected individuals is plotted versus time for different values of the i...
<p>The expected final outbreak size (solid line) and CV in the final outbreak size (dashed line) are...
Which case-based intervention measures should be applied during an epidemic outbreak depends on how ...
<p>(a)-(c) and (d)-(f), simulations of the populations of infectious livestock and vectors in patche...
We combine infectious disease transmission and the non-pharmaceutical (NPI) intervention response to...
Effects of treatment delay on disease infectivity, severity, and treatment efficacy.</p
<p>The stochastic combined mean final epidemic size 〈<i>E</i>〉 as a function of the fractional alloc...
<p>(a)-(c) and (d)-(f), simulations of the populations of exposed livestock and vectors in patches 1...
Introduction: Epidemic curves are a type of time series data consisting of the number of events that...
<p>Components of the delay in at-risk country following initiation. (A) Results of 10,000 simulation...
Emerging diseases must make a transition from stuttering chains of transmission to sustained chains ...