Derived estimates of local extinction probabilities (ε) for <i>Aedes aegypti</i> (A) and <i>Ae. albopictus</i> (B).

<p>For each species, ε estimates (bold black lines) and 95% confidence intervals (thin grey lines) were derived from the best-performing (lowest AICc) 38-month model. We also plot variation (<i>z</i>-scores) of average maximum temperatures during sampling days and the previous two weeks (t_{max<i>-2-week-lag</i>}, right <i>y</i> axes in each panel; colored areas); this was the meteorological covariate in the best <i>Aedes aegypti</i> model. On the <i>x</i> axis, grey boxes highlight the periods in which city-wide, massive <i>Aedes</i> control campaigns, called <i>Operação Impacto </i><a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0058420#pone.0058420-FundaodeVigilnciaemSadedoEstadodo1" target="_blank">[29]</a>, <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0058420#pone.0058420-FundaodeVigilnciaemSadedoEstadodo2" target="_blank">[30]</a>, took place; note that they coincide with months of very low ε values.