<p>Results for Experiment 1 are shown in the top panel and results for Experiment 2 are shown in the bottom panel. In both cases, mean error rates for the true-false judgment are shown on the left-hand side, whereas mean certainty judgments are shown on the right-hand side. For the certainty judgments, the four-point scale was defined as follows: 1 (very certain) –4 (completely uncertain).</p
<p><i>(A)</i> Estimated probability that the next stimulus is A plotted against the Ideal Observer e...
People often make quantitative predictions (e.g., college GPA) on the basis of contradictory cues (e...
<p>A: The results of Experiment 1a. B: The results of Experiment 1b. Both panels depict mean trackin...
<p>Left panel: Mean causal judgments across the four 64-trial blocks, for the two uncertainty condit...
<p>Frequencies of respective certainty ratings for a ±10% range of coherence levels around the infle...
<p>The left panel shows the mean probability of introducing the potential cause, P(Cause), in each o...
<p>The scale ranges from ‘+3′ (‘I agree strongly’) to ‘−3′ (‘I disagree strongly’) with ‘0′ denoting...
Ratings (1 = not confident at all; 5 = very confident) are shown as a function of stimulus presentat...
<p>Results of the control behavioural study show that participants were on average less certain of e...
<p>Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. * <i>p</i> < .05, ^ <i>p</i> ≤ .10.</p
<p>Means are separated by ease-of-processing (presentation duration of 100, 200, 300, or 400 ms) and...
Symbol color indicates experimental condition (PP: teal, PA: yellow, PR: red). Error bars show ±1 SE...
<p>Means are separated by ease-of-processing (presentation duration of 100, 200, 300, or 400 ms) and...
<p>The percentage of correct responses for the (a) T/O task (low cognitive load) and (b) T/L task (h...
<p>Accuracy (A), RT (B), and SA (C) are shown for the four conditions (two notations concatenated). ...
<p><i>(A)</i> Estimated probability that the next stimulus is A plotted against the Ideal Observer e...
People often make quantitative predictions (e.g., college GPA) on the basis of contradictory cues (e...
<p>A: The results of Experiment 1a. B: The results of Experiment 1b. Both panels depict mean trackin...
<p>Left panel: Mean causal judgments across the four 64-trial blocks, for the two uncertainty condit...
<p>Frequencies of respective certainty ratings for a ±10% range of coherence levels around the infle...
<p>The left panel shows the mean probability of introducing the potential cause, P(Cause), in each o...
<p>The scale ranges from ‘+3′ (‘I agree strongly’) to ‘−3′ (‘I disagree strongly’) with ‘0′ denoting...
Ratings (1 = not confident at all; 5 = very confident) are shown as a function of stimulus presentat...
<p>Results of the control behavioural study show that participants were on average less certain of e...
<p>Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. * <i>p</i> < .05, ^ <i>p</i> ≤ .10.</p
<p>Means are separated by ease-of-processing (presentation duration of 100, 200, 300, or 400 ms) and...
Symbol color indicates experimental condition (PP: teal, PA: yellow, PR: red). Error bars show ±1 SE...
<p>Means are separated by ease-of-processing (presentation duration of 100, 200, 300, or 400 ms) and...
<p>The percentage of correct responses for the (a) T/O task (low cognitive load) and (b) T/L task (h...
<p>Accuracy (A), RT (B), and SA (C) are shown for the four conditions (two notations concatenated). ...
<p><i>(A)</i> Estimated probability that the next stimulus is A plotted against the Ideal Observer e...
People often make quantitative predictions (e.g., college GPA) on the basis of contradictory cues (e...
<p>A: The results of Experiment 1a. B: The results of Experiment 1b. Both panels depict mean trackin...