<p>Impact on incidence (upper panel) and average age (lower) panel. The standard parameters for Dhaka were used assuming an average of three infections was required to induce immunity. For each line, the first number is the probability of inducing sterile immunity and the second the probability of inducing clinical immunity, conditional on not inducing sterile immunity. In these simulations, the probability of inducing immunity by a subclinical infection or clinical infection was assumed to be similar. Thus 0.333, 0.000 is a simulation that only induces sterile immunity; 0.000, 0.333 only induces clinical immunity. The horizontal black line in the lower panel is the average age of infection (76 months) observed in Dhaka.</p
<p>Simulated pre-existing immunity to the dengue serotypes in Bang Phae by age. We assume constant r...
Counts (N) of enrolled individuals who did not become infected during enrollment (uninfected) or bec...
Case-control studies of outbreaks and of sporadic cases of infectious diseases may provide a biased ...
<p>The simulations systematically <i>R<sub>c</sub></i> for probabilities of 0.02 (short dash), 0.1 (...
<p>Change in average age as a function of probability of acquiring immunity, duration of sterile and...
<p>The simulated distributions were calculated using the estimates obtained by maximum likelihood es...
<p>(A) Average value of the age-specific susceptibility to infection in age groups 5–14 years, 15–64...
<p>The larger points represent the median attack rates (y-axis) of ten stochastic simulations run wh...
<p>Individual simulations are shown of the number of cases per month for a 240 month (20 year) simul...
(A) The observed (dots) and expected (line) number of cases reported annually. Shaded area represent...
<p>(A) EIR = 2 ibpa, no intervention. (B) EIR = 20 ibpa, no intervention. (C) EIR = 2 ibpa, EPI vacc...
<p>(A) Pre-pandemic seroprevalence (green), post-pandemic seroprevalence (red) and difference betwee...
<p>A: cumulative incidence (total number of symptomatic cases) over a 28-year simulation as a functi...
<p>(<b><i>A</i></b>) The epidemiological effects of temporary cross-immunity, , on mean prevalence l...
<p>It is represented by the relative frequency (<i>r</i>, Y-axis) at which “avoider” individuals suf...
<p>Simulated pre-existing immunity to the dengue serotypes in Bang Phae by age. We assume constant r...
Counts (N) of enrolled individuals who did not become infected during enrollment (uninfected) or bec...
Case-control studies of outbreaks and of sporadic cases of infectious diseases may provide a biased ...
<p>The simulations systematically <i>R<sub>c</sub></i> for probabilities of 0.02 (short dash), 0.1 (...
<p>Change in average age as a function of probability of acquiring immunity, duration of sterile and...
<p>The simulated distributions were calculated using the estimates obtained by maximum likelihood es...
<p>(A) Average value of the age-specific susceptibility to infection in age groups 5–14 years, 15–64...
<p>The larger points represent the median attack rates (y-axis) of ten stochastic simulations run wh...
<p>Individual simulations are shown of the number of cases per month for a 240 month (20 year) simul...
(A) The observed (dots) and expected (line) number of cases reported annually. Shaded area represent...
<p>(A) EIR = 2 ibpa, no intervention. (B) EIR = 20 ibpa, no intervention. (C) EIR = 2 ibpa, EPI vacc...
<p>(A) Pre-pandemic seroprevalence (green), post-pandemic seroprevalence (red) and difference betwee...
<p>A: cumulative incidence (total number of symptomatic cases) over a 28-year simulation as a functi...
<p>(<b><i>A</i></b>) The epidemiological effects of temporary cross-immunity, , on mean prevalence l...
<p>It is represented by the relative frequency (<i>r</i>, Y-axis) at which “avoider” individuals suf...
<p>Simulated pre-existing immunity to the dengue serotypes in Bang Phae by age. We assume constant r...
Counts (N) of enrolled individuals who did not become infected during enrollment (uninfected) or bec...
Case-control studies of outbreaks and of sporadic cases of infectious diseases may provide a biased ...