A Proposed Model To Predict Population In Relatively Rural Areas Experiencing Rapid Economic Development

In this research a model is developed to predict population for re-latively rural areas experiencing rapid economic development. Of the many ways to predict population size, in this research a "demographic-economic" model is chosen for use. The economic variables which aid in projecting population are total employment, and net changes in employment associated with economic growth. The model developed for this research is applied to Oregon's Northern Columbia River Basin Counties of Morrow, Umatilla, and Gilliam. Each county is or is expected to experience rapid growth in its agricultural and/or industrial sectors in the next few years. Using employment projections to the year 1990, population projections are made at five-year intervals between the years 1970 and 1990