Regional analysis and forecast of the number of pupils in upper secondary education

Regional analysis and forecast of the number of pupils in upper secondary education Abstract The goal of this thesis is to analyze the current structure of secondary school pupils according to the main KKOV classification scheme within individual regions of the Czech Republic and to estimate the future development in the schoolyear 2024/2025. Two main methods were used for this purpose, the method of participation in education from population classes and the method of quotient of transitions between individual years. The first part of the thesis focuses on the history of the development of the educational system and the methodology of classification of the educational system in the Czech Republic. The second part of this thesis deals with the application of selected methods to data for the regions of the Czech Republic. The ratio of newly admitted pupils to the size of population in the region per age and field of study and in schoolyears 2006/2007-2015/2016 is determined. Further, numbers of newly admitted pupils, pupils in each year of study, and graduates according to selected groups of disciplines are estimated in the schoolyear 2024/2025. This information can facilitate decision-making and planning of educational capacities in individual regions and the direction of the labor market in the region...