In models where privately informed agents interact, agents may need to form higher order expectations, i.e. expectations of other agents' expectations. This paper develops a tractable framework for solving and analyzing linear dynamic rational expectations models in which privately informed agents form higher order expectations. The framework is used to demonstrate that the well-known problem of the infinite regress of expectations identified by Townsend (1983) can be approximated to an arbitrary accuracy with a finite dimensional representation under quite general conditions. The paper is constructive and presents a fixed point algorithm for finding an accurate solution and provides weak conditions that ensure that a fixed point exists. ...
AbstractA dispersion condition for traders' forecasts in a general equilibrium model with uncertaint...
URL des Documents de travail : https://centredeconomiesorbonne.univ-paris1.fr/documents-de-travail-d...
Rational expectations assumes perfect, model consistency between beliefs and market realizations. He...
In models where privately informed agents interact, agents may need to formhigher order expectations...
In the rational expectations paradigm, one solves models of a large number of agents who optimize su...
We examine formally Keynes' idea that higher order beliefs can drive a wedge between an asset price ...
We study the properties of rational expectation equilibria (REE) in dynamic asset pricing models wit...
We prove the existence of general economic equilibrium under uncertainty when agents form econometri...
Abstract: The partial information rational expectations solution to a general linear multivariate ex...
Accommodating asymmetric information in a dynamic asset pricing model is technically challenging due...
This paper develops a new methodology in order to study the role of dynamic expectations. Neither re...
In this paper, I argue that agents may prefer learning a misspecified model instead of learning the ...
This paper develops a new methodology in order to study the role of dynamic expectations. Neither re...
This paper studies a cobweb economy in which agents make decisions using a misspecified model of the...
AbstractA dispersion condition for traders' forecasts in a general equilibrium model with uncertaint...
URL des Documents de travail : https://centredeconomiesorbonne.univ-paris1.fr/documents-de-travail-d...
Rational expectations assumes perfect, model consistency between beliefs and market realizations. He...
In models where privately informed agents interact, agents may need to formhigher order expectations...
In the rational expectations paradigm, one solves models of a large number of agents who optimize su...
We examine formally Keynes' idea that higher order beliefs can drive a wedge between an asset price ...
We study the properties of rational expectation equilibria (REE) in dynamic asset pricing models wit...
We prove the existence of general economic equilibrium under uncertainty when agents form econometri...
Abstract: The partial information rational expectations solution to a general linear multivariate ex...
Accommodating asymmetric information in a dynamic asset pricing model is technically challenging due...
This paper develops a new methodology in order to study the role of dynamic expectations. Neither re...
In this paper, I argue that agents may prefer learning a misspecified model instead of learning the ...
This paper develops a new methodology in order to study the role of dynamic expectations. Neither re...
This paper studies a cobweb economy in which agents make decisions using a misspecified model of the...
AbstractA dispersion condition for traders' forecasts in a general equilibrium model with uncertaint...
URL des Documents de travail : https://centredeconomiesorbonne.univ-paris1.fr/documents-de-travail-d...
Rational expectations assumes perfect, model consistency between beliefs and market realizations. He...