A subtype of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia with poor treatment outcome: a genome-wide classification study

Background: Genetic subtypes of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) are used to determine risk and treatment in children. 25% of precursor B-ALL cases are genetically unclassified and have intermediate prognosis. We aimed to use a genome-wide study to improve prognostic classification of ALL in children. Methods: We constructed a classifier based on gene expression in 190 children with newly diagnosed ALL (German Cooperative ALL [COALL] discovery cohort) by use of double-loop cross-validation and validated this in an independent cohort of 107 newly diagnosed patients (Dutch Childhood Oncology Group [DCOG] independent validation cohort). Hierarchical cluster analysis with classifying gene-probe sets revealed a new ALL subtype, the underlying genetic abnormalities of which were characterised by comparative genomic hybridisation-arrays and molecular cytogenetics. Findings: Our classifier predicted ALL subtype with a median accuracy of 90·0% (IQR 88·3-91·7) in the discovery cohort and correctly identified 94 of 107 patients (accuracy 87·9%) in the independent validation cohort. Without our classifier, 44 children in the COALL cohort and 33 children in the DCOG cohort would have been classified as B-other. However, hierarchical clustering showed that many of these genetically unclassified cases clustered with BCR-ABL1-positive cases: 30 (19%) of 154 children with precursor B-ALL in the COALL cohort and 14 (15%) of 92 children with precursor B-ALL in the DCOG cohort had this BCR-ABL1-like disease. In the COALL cohort, these patients had unfavourable outcome (5-year disease-free survival 59·5%, 95% CI