A INFLUÊNCIA DA TAXA DE CÂMBIO NAS EXPORTAÇÕES BRASILEIRAS DE CARNE BOVINA IN NATURA

From the economic opening in the 1990s, Brazil began to have more visibility in the international market of agricultural products. In the same period there was an increase in world demand for commodities originating from agriculture and livestock, combined with a price increase on an average of 60%. Thus, it was observed that the exchange rate played a great influence on the exports of these commodities, as it has changed after the stagnation of the inflation, due to the implementation of the Real Plan. The aim of this paper is to analyze the influence of the exchange rate on net exports of fresh beef. To obtain the results we used the VAR methodology - Vector Autoregressive, and also the VEC- Error Correction Vector and the required tests to complete the model. Thus, the main results obtained show that, in the long run, Brazilian exports of fresh beef rise proportionately more than the exchange rate changes. In the short term, because of an imbalance in the series of the exchange rate, the adjustment takes place in a slow manner, around 4.5% in each period