We present results on expectation formation in a controlled experimental environment. In each period subjects are asked to predict the next price of a risky asset. The realized market price is derived from an unknown market equilibrium equation with feedback from individual forecasts. In most experiments prices deviate from the benchmark fundamental and bubbles emerge endogenously. These bubbles are inconsistent with rational expectations and seem to be driven by trend chasing behavior or "positive feedback expectations" of the participants. We also analyze individual predictions of participants and find that participants within a group tend to coordinate on a common prediction strategy
We analyse the results of an experiment on expectation formation carried out last year (i.e., 2003) ...
Empirical evidence suggests that prices do not always reflect fundamental values and individual beha...
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjec...
We present results on expectation formation in a controlled experimental environment. In each period...
Abstract: We present results on expectation formation in a controlled experi-mental environment. In ...
Notwithstanding the recognized importance of traders' expectations in characterizing the observed ma...
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adj...
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adj...
This thesis presents laboratory experiments to examine various aspects of bubble formation in asset ...
Abstract: We investigate expectation formation in a controlled experimental en-vironment. Subjects a...
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adj...
Notwithstanding the recognized importance of traders ’ expectations in characterizing the observed m...
Different forecasting behaviors affect investors’ trading decisions and lead to qualitatively differ...
We elicit traders ’ predictions of future price trajectories in repeated experimental markets for a ...
The evolution of many economic variables is affected by expectations that economic agents have with ...
We analyse the results of an experiment on expectation formation carried out last year (i.e., 2003) ...
Empirical evidence suggests that prices do not always reflect fundamental values and individual beha...
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjec...
We present results on expectation formation in a controlled experimental environment. In each period...
Abstract: We present results on expectation formation in a controlled experi-mental environment. In ...
Notwithstanding the recognized importance of traders' expectations in characterizing the observed ma...
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adj...
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adj...
This thesis presents laboratory experiments to examine various aspects of bubble formation in asset ...
Abstract: We investigate expectation formation in a controlled experimental en-vironment. Subjects a...
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adj...
Notwithstanding the recognized importance of traders ’ expectations in characterizing the observed m...
Different forecasting behaviors affect investors’ trading decisions and lead to qualitatively differ...
We elicit traders ’ predictions of future price trajectories in repeated experimental markets for a ...
The evolution of many economic variables is affected by expectations that economic agents have with ...
We analyse the results of an experiment on expectation formation carried out last year (i.e., 2003) ...
Empirical evidence suggests that prices do not always reflect fundamental values and individual beha...
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjec...