Adolescent predictors of a typology of DSM-5 alcohol use disorder symptoms in young adults derived by latent class analysis using data from an Australian cohort study

Objective: There is little research examining alcohol use disorder (AUD) symptoms (based on criteria from the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition [DSM-5]) in young adulthood. We assessed symptom structure at 24 years using latent class analysis (LCA), examining relationships between class membership and (a) concurrent alcohol use and DSM-5 AUD severity and (b) adolescent risk factors. Method: A stratified, random sample of 1,943 adolescents ages 14-15 years was recruited from 44 secondary schools in Victoria, Australia, and interviewed during adolescence and young adulthood. We report findings on drinkers who completed the AUD module (N = 1,268; 51% male). Results: Data clearly fit a three-class, dimensional model, comprising "mild symptoms" (63.2%), "moderate symptoms" (32.2%), and "severe symptoms" (4.6%) classes. Class membership was validated by concurrent drinking patterns and in reasonable agreement with DSM-5 AUD severity categories. Relative to mild symptoms class membership, moderate symptoms class membership increased odds of adolescent alcohol problems (odds ratio [OR] = 2.0, 95% CI [1.2, 3.5]) and persisting anxiety/depression symptoms (OR = 1.9, 95% CI [1.2, 3.1]). Daily smoking (OR = 2.6, 95% CI [1.1, 5.9]), persisting anxiety/depression symptoms (OR = 2.5, 95% CI [1.3, 5.0]), and antisocial behavior (OR = 3.2, 95% CI [1.5, 6.8]) increased odds of severe symptoms class membership. Adolescent daily smoking (OR = 0.3, 95% CI [0.11, 0.81]) and antisocial behavior (OR = 0.3, 95% CI [0.14, 0.64]) were less likely among members of the moderate symptoms class, relative to the severe symptoms class. Conclusions: We found support for a dimensional AUD typology like that in DSM-5. Young adults with more severe AUD symptoms had a different adolescent risk profile than those in the low and moderate classes. These findings provide a focus for preventive intervention in adolescence to limit the severity of AUDs in young adult-hood