A new tool for predicting the probability of chronic kidney disease from a specific value of estimated GFR.
- Björk, Jonas
- Grubb, Anders
- Sterner, Gunnar
- Nyman, Ulf
DOIAbstract
Abstract Objective. To demonstrate how patients' probability of having chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 3-5 (measured GFR 90% only when eGFR is 90% already when eGFR is 59 mL/min/1.73 m(2) in a screening population, whereas it is 88 mL/min/1.73 m(2) in a CKD population. Conclusion. Instead of reporting diagnostic accuracy as sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values, actual eGFR supplemented with the probability that it represents a true GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) may be more valuable for physicians. Clinical (pre-test) probability in the population must be considered when predicting this probability
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