Douglas Carswell has become the first UK MP with an easy win in the Clacton by-election. UKIP has also performed strongly in the Heywood by-election, taking 38% of the vote. Two strong UKIP performances, resulting in a Tory loss in one and a Labour win in the other. The results are indicative of what may happen in the 2015 general election, writes Eric Kaufmann
We have updated our election prediction model, based on national voting intention results from all p...
The 2015 general election in Britain saw a major attempt by a relatively new party - the UK Independ...
Last Thursday, the UK went to the polls. While different parts of the country voted in different ele...
The decision of Douglas Carswell, MP for Clacton and leading Eurosceptic, to defect to UKIP was quic...
Opinions are divided on whether the Conservatives or Labour need to worry most about UK Independence...
In this post, Tony Travers uses historical data from local elections to analyse the chances of a Lab...
The previous Coalition government attempted to redraw the boundaries of the UK’s Parliamentary const...
In the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit vote, UKIP seems to have lost much of its original purpose and i...
The outcome of the 2017 general election—a hung parliament—defied most predictions. In this article,...
UKIP’s victory in the Rochester & Strood by-election gives the party national credibility, writes Pa...
It is currently likely that no party will be a clear winner in next May’s General Election. What is ...
Few analyses of the election result have got beyond the headline outcome and started to unpick the d...
John Curtice looks at the evidence of recent opinion polls to examine the character and sources of s...
There has been much talk in the media recently about the significance of Brexit as a key factor driv...
The 2015 General Election saw the Conservatives win a majority, seemingly against all odds, with Lab...
We have updated our election prediction model, based on national voting intention results from all p...
The 2015 general election in Britain saw a major attempt by a relatively new party - the UK Independ...
Last Thursday, the UK went to the polls. While different parts of the country voted in different ele...
The decision of Douglas Carswell, MP for Clacton and leading Eurosceptic, to defect to UKIP was quic...
Opinions are divided on whether the Conservatives or Labour need to worry most about UK Independence...
In this post, Tony Travers uses historical data from local elections to analyse the chances of a Lab...
The previous Coalition government attempted to redraw the boundaries of the UK’s Parliamentary const...
In the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit vote, UKIP seems to have lost much of its original purpose and i...
The outcome of the 2017 general election—a hung parliament—defied most predictions. In this article,...
UKIP’s victory in the Rochester & Strood by-election gives the party national credibility, writes Pa...
It is currently likely that no party will be a clear winner in next May’s General Election. What is ...
Few analyses of the election result have got beyond the headline outcome and started to unpick the d...
John Curtice looks at the evidence of recent opinion polls to examine the character and sources of s...
There has been much talk in the media recently about the significance of Brexit as a key factor driv...
The 2015 General Election saw the Conservatives win a majority, seemingly against all odds, with Lab...
We have updated our election prediction model, based on national voting intention results from all p...
The 2015 general election in Britain saw a major attempt by a relatively new party - the UK Independ...
Last Thursday, the UK went to the polls. While different parts of the country voted in different ele...