Prognostic role of B-type natriuretic peptide levels in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

ObjectivesWe hypothesized that B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels can predict cardiac mortality in diabetic patients.BackgroundDetection of cardiovascular disease in diabetics can be difficult until overt events occur.MethodsA total of 482 diabetics (majority male with type 2 diabetes) at the Veterans Affairs Medical Center San Diego were divided into two groups: 1) referred patients for echocardiogram on the basis of clinical suspicion of cardiac dysfunction (referred [R], n = 180); 2) patients randomly selected from the diabetic clinic without any suspicion of cardiac dysfunction (not referred [N-R], n = 302). We examined cardiac events and all-cause mortality in relation to initial BNP levels during the follow-up.ResultsA total of 71 (14.7%) patients died during this period: 52 of 180 (29%) in the R group (30 of 52 [58%] cardiac, 10 of 52 [19%] non-cardiac, 2 of 52 [4%] renal, 10 of 52 [19%] unknown cause) and 19 of 302 (6%) in N-R group (6 of 19 [32%] cardiac). The median BNP level in the R and N-R groups who died of cardiac, non-cardiac, and unknown cause was 537 and 87, 80 and 53, and 343 and 38 pg/ml, respectively. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) values for mortality in two groups in relation to BNP revealed the area under the curve to be 0.720 and 0.691, respectively (p < 0.01 in both). Among commonly used prognostic indicators in diabetics, only the ROC for triglycerides was significant. The most accurate cut-point in both the N-R group (87%) and R group (61%) was 120 pg/ml of BNP. Cox regression analysis showed BNP to be the most significant predictor of all-cause mortality in the R group. There was a marked decrease in survival in the patient group with BNP >120 pg/ml.ConclusionsB-type natriuretic peptide appears to be a reliable predictor of future cardiac and all-cause mortality in diabetic patients