A few reasons why Le Pen could win the French presidential election, and a few more why she’ll still fall short

We are now entering the last month of campaigning before the first round of voting in the French presidential election on 23 April, with Marine Le Pen still leading in many opinion polls for the first round, but behind in polling for the second round. Ben Margulies assesses some of the key factors in her favour, and several more reasons why she is ultimately likely to end up disappointed