Local Directional Moran Scatter Plot

This paper propose a novel methodology to estimate the distribution dynamics of income in presence of spatial dependence by representing spatial dynamics as a random vector field in Moran space. Inference on the local spatial dynamics is discussed, including a test on the presence of local spatial dependence. The methodology also allows to compute a forecast of future income distribution which includes also the effects of spatial dependence. An application to US States is used to illustrate the effective capacities of the methodology