Climate Controls on Longshore Sediment Transport

Subtle changes in the directional wave climate driven by changes in large scale climate variability have the potential to result in spatial changes (erosion and accretion) of sandy coastlines due to deviations in longshore sediment transport supply. 50+ years of hindcast offshore directional wave conditions for southeast Queensland, Australia were used to derive yearly wave climates that were input into a spectral wave model to estimate nearshore breaking wave conditions and resulting longshore sediment transport along a 35 km stretch of sandy coastline. Resulting temporal deviations in net annual longshore transport were smoothed using a 5-year Hamming filter and compared against two climate indices known to influence the Australian climate: the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and the Inter-decadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). During the negative IPO phase (more El Niño like) deviations in estimated transport were significantly correlated to the SOI index at-1 year lag and correlated to the IPO index at +1 year lag. During positive phases of the IPO (more La Niña like) highest correlations were found a