Referentieraming niet CO2 broeikasgassen. Emissieraming voor de periode 2001-2010

Results are presented of the project 'reference projection for energy and greenhouse gases' carried out by RIVM and ECN for the Ministries of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment, and of Economic Affairs. The emission are considered of non-CO2 greenhouse gases in the Netherlands in 2010. Emission sources and trends up to 2000 were analysed, and expected developments with respect to economic growth for the period 2001-2010 updated. This led to new estimates for the non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions in 2010. Differences with previous scenario studies were analysed, and the effects of both announced and implemented policy measures assessed.The total expected non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions for the Netherlands in 2010 are concluded to be 34 Mton CO2 equivalent, which represents a 9 Mton decrease for 2000.s in 2010 is estimated at 5 Mton (95% confidence interval) due to identified uncertain future societal developments and possible future improvements in greenhouse gas emission inventories.The results will be used to evaluate the current progress with respect to the national climate change policy in the Netherlands, described in "The Netherlands' Climate Policy Implementation Plan, Part I: inland measures"(June 1999)"