Scenario's voor huishoudensontwikkelingen in Nederland

Between 1960 and 2003 the number of households in the Netherlands increased from 3.2 million to 7 million. The average household has not only decreased in size, but has also changed in composition. On the one hand, household trends are determined by demographic factors such as birth, mortality and international migration. On the other hand, they are determined by factors related to people's life cycles. Described here is how the future size and composition of Dutch households will change according to four scenarios, Global Economy, Strong Europe, Transatlantic Market and Regional Communities. In the Global Economy scenario, the number of households increases to more than 10 million by 2040, while in the Regional Communities scenario, the number of households peak at almost 7.5 million around 2030. A subsequent decrease leads ultimately to less than 7 million households by 2040. In the other two scenarios, the number of households grows to about 8.5 million by 2040. The decrease in average household size continues in all scenarios. The largest decrease is shown in the Global Economy scenario (down to 1.93 persons per household) and the smallest in the Regional Communities scenario (down to 2.19 persons). The number of single-person households 5.5 million in 2040 will be highest in the Global Economy scenario but only 2.5 million in the Regional Communities scenario. The largest increase is expected in the higher age groups, where the number of single-person households aged 65 and over will double or even triple