Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic terms as strategies for Sceptic) into forecasting algorithms.There are two known varieties of defensive forecasting: "continuous", in which Sceptic's moves are assumed to depend on the forecasts in a (semi)continuous manner and which produces deterministic forecasts, and "randomized", in which the dependence of Sceptic's moves on the forecasts is arbitrary and Forecaster's moves are allowed to be randomized. This note shows that the randomized variety can be obtained from the continuous variety by smearing Sceptic's moves to make them continuous
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is th...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is th...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
Defensive forecasting is a method of transforming laws of probability (stated in game-theoretic term...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is th...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...