Airline hub-and-spoke network planning considering risk factors

[[abstract]]本研究探討軸輻式系統規劃問題應用於考慮風險因素的航空網路。建構的數學模型以整體航空網路中包含機場及航線發生失敗風險的可能性最小化為目標。此方式相對於傳統的成本最小化模型可以增加整體航空網路的可靠性。運用台灣、香港及中國航空客運市場上的實際數據於模型中進行測試，並且建立各種航空事故及模擬情境以驗證模型的可行性。模型測試結果並與傳統的成本最小化模型的結果進行比較。[[abstract]]This study addresses the airline hub-and-spoke network design problem with consideration of risk factor The proposed model aims to minimize the total risk probability over the operational network including airports and flight routes The proposed method can increase the reliability of service network as opposed to the traditional cost minimization models Data based on the air passenger market from Taiwan Hong Kong and China is used to illustrate the proposed models Various incidents and scenarios were created to test the proposed method The test results is also compared with the solutions from the traditional cost minimization mode