Modelling future residential load profiles

Due to several developments the future electricity demand of residential consumers will change and they will also start to generate electricity. Differences may exist between individual consumers connected to the grid, e.g. one household may choose for a micro combined heat and power (CHP) boiler and the other for a heat pump in combination with solar panels. This variation between consumers and the differentiation over time of the profiles of future residential load elements cannot be satisfactorily modelled by current approaches for the goal of network planning and analysis. In this paper an approach to model the profiles of future residential load elements is proposed. The application of micro-CHP boilers, heat pumps, photovoltaic panels and electric vehicles are the considered technologies. It is illustrated how these individual elements of the future residential load can be modelled and subsequently combined to construct the total aggregated load profile for a group of households