Assessment of the impact of a market formation programme on the Swedish PV innovation system

A technological innovation systems model is used to assess the effects of a policy intervention in order to inform future interventions. The proposed evaluation methodology is a four-step procedure: First system boundaries are set. Second, based on collected data, we make a description of how the structure and size of the technological system changed in the period, in terms of the component categories artefacts, actors and rules (including knowledge and institutions). Third, we investigate causal relations in the innovation system in terms of functions. The functions relate the change of structural components to the structure itself as well as to external forces. We also look for chain reactions and positive feedback that reinforce growth. Forth, we assess the relative contribution to the functional dynamics (and thus structural change) of the intervention we are to evaluate