We propose a sequential optimizing betting strategy in the multi-dimensional bounded forecasting game in the framework of game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk (2001) [10]. By studying the asymptotic behavior of its capital process, we prove a generalization of the strong law of large numbers, where the convergence rate of the sample mean vector depends on the growth rate of the quadratic variation process. The growth rate of the quadratic variation process may be slower than the number of rounds or may even be zero. We also introduce an information criterion for selecting efficient betting items. These results are then applied to multiple asset trading strategies in discrete-time and continuous-time games. In the case of a continuo...
Kelly's criterion is a betting strategy that maximizes the long-term growth rate, but which is known...
This paper studies a two-person trading game in continuous time that generalizes Garivaltis (2018) t...
International audienceWe study long-term Markov Decision Processes and Gambling Houses, with applica...
AbstractWe propose a sequential optimizing betting strategy in the multi-dimensional bounded forecas...
AbstractWe propose a sequential optimizing betting strategy in the multi-dimensional bounded forecas...
We introduce a new formulation of asset trading games in continuous time in the framework of the gam...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is th...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
Kelly's criterion is a betting strategy that maximizes the long-term growth rate, but which is known...
This paper studies a two-person trading game in continuous time that generalizes Garivaltis (2018) t...
International audienceWe study long-term Markov Decision Processes and Gambling Houses, with applica...
AbstractWe propose a sequential optimizing betting strategy in the multi-dimensional bounded forecas...
AbstractWe propose a sequential optimizing betting strategy in the multi-dimensional bounded forecas...
We introduce a new formulation of asset trading games in continuous time in the framework of the gam...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is th...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
We consider how to make probability forecasts of binary labels. Our main mathematical result is that...
Kelly's criterion is a betting strategy that maximizes the long-term growth rate, but which is known...
This paper studies a two-person trading game in continuous time that generalizes Garivaltis (2018) t...
International audienceWe study long-term Markov Decision Processes and Gambling Houses, with applica...