An Equilibrium Model of Exchange Rate Determination and Asset Pricing with Nontraded Goods and Imperfect Information.

This paper presents a two-country model with maximizing households, stochastic production, stochastic money growth, and perfect capital mobility. Because of the presence of nontraded goods, households in different countries consume different goods. Analytic solutions are presented for the nominal exchange rate, the real exchange rate, nominal interest rates, and real interest rates. It is shown that the model is compatible with some important features of the real-world behavior of exchange rates. When households are imperfectly informed about the distribution of money growth, the exchange rate exhibits patterns of overshooting and is more volatile than the ratio of the money stocks. Copyright 1987 by University of Chicago Press.