A Study on the Factors Affecting Predictive Crisis Financial Model for Listed Company

[[abstract]]The scholar, Beaver, once used the single variable method for analyzing 30 financial rates and compared the arrangement. However, the single variable method confers only one factor. Therefore, the research will use the logistic regression model to analyze the single financial factor first; afterwards setting up the gains, cash-flow, growing-up, debt-paying, and managing index metric financial models. Discovered: The predictive index on the accuracy of the three top distinguishing factors of the crisis company are: 1) the borrowed money depends on degree, 2) net value / total assets, 3) the cash flow of the operating activity / total assets. At some companies, the borrowed money from a certain source depends on degree, net value / total assets, operating activity cash flow / total for asset values less than 82.30. 0.89 - 0.60 are actually more relative probabilities for the crisis company. On the contrary, it may namely be a normal company and the three factors' accuracy will be 78.57% - 75.56% - 72.06%. Of the predictive abilities of the five financial indexes, the first is debt-paying ability. The second is cash-flow index