This paper investigates the potential for systematic errors in the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) widely used Annual Energy Outlook, focusing on the near- to mid-term projections of energy demand. Based on analysis of the EIA's 22-year projection record, we find a fairly modest but persistent tendency to underestimate total energy demand by an average of 2 percent per year after controlling for projection errors in gross domestic product, oil prices, and heating/cooling degree days. For 14 individual fuels/consuming sectors routinely reported by the EIA, we observe a great deal of directional consistency in the errors over time, ranging up to 7 percent per year. Electric utility renewables, electric utility natural gas, transport...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
In order to implement sustainable economic policies, realistic and high accuracy demand projections ...
Energy forecasts are widely used by the U.S. government, politicians, think tanks, and utility compa...
The paper investigates an issue of the accuracy of energy consumption forecasts for power supply com...
The United States Energy Information Administration releases an AEO (Annual Energy Outlook) projecti...
One of the most important challenges facing energy analysts is to predict future energy consumption ...
There are broad ranges of organizations that produce energy forecasts for different purposes. The U....
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) prepares The Short-Term Energy Outlook (energy supply, d...
A projection of future energy consumption is a vital input to many analyses of economic, energy, and...
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) prepares quarterly, short-term energy supply, demand, an...
Energy forecasts are widely used by the U.S. government, politicians, think tanks, and utility compa...
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) prepares quarterly short-term energy supply, demand, and...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
In order to implement sustainable economic policies, realistic and high accuracy demand projections ...
Energy forecasts are widely used by the U.S. government, politicians, think tanks, and utility compa...
The paper investigates an issue of the accuracy of energy consumption forecasts for power supply com...
The United States Energy Information Administration releases an AEO (Annual Energy Outlook) projecti...
One of the most important challenges facing energy analysts is to predict future energy consumption ...
There are broad ranges of organizations that produce energy forecasts for different purposes. The U....
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) prepares The Short-Term Energy Outlook (energy supply, d...
A projection of future energy consumption is a vital input to many analyses of economic, energy, and...
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) prepares quarterly, short-term energy supply, demand, an...
Energy forecasts are widely used by the U.S. government, politicians, think tanks, and utility compa...
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) prepares quarterly short-term energy supply, demand, and...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
Failures of countries to set and achieve renewable energy targets are prevalent, producing uncertain...
In order to implement sustainable economic policies, realistic and high accuracy demand projections ...