Second-line antituberculosis drug exposure thresholds predictive of adverse events in multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment

Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the association between drug exposure and adverse events (AEs) during the standardized multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment, as well as to identify predictive drug exposure thresholds. Methods: We conducted a prospective, observational multicenter study among participants receiving standardized MDR-TB treatment between 2016 and 2019 in China. AEs were monitored throughout the treatment and their relationships to drug exposure (e.g., the area under the drug concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h, AUC0-24 h) were analyzed. The thresholds of pharmacokinetic predictors of observed AEs were identified by boosted classification and regression tree (CART) and further evaluated by external validation. Results: Of 197 study participants, 124 (62.9%) had at least one AE, and 15 (7.6%) experienced serious AEs. The association between drug exposure and AEs was observed including bedaquiline, its metabolite M2, moxifloxacin and QTcF prolongation (QTcF >450 ms), linezolid and mitochondrial toxicity, cycloserine and psychiatric AEs. The CART-derived thresholds of AUC0-24 h predictive of the respective AEs were 3.2 mg·h/l (bedaquiline M2); 49.3 mg·h/l (moxifloxacin); 119.3 mg·h/l (linezolid); 718.7 mg·h/l (cycloserine). Conclusions: This study demonstrated the drug exposure thresholds predictive of AEs for key drugs against MDR-TB treatment. Using the derived thresholds will provide the knowledge base for further randomized clinical trials of dose adjustment to minimize the risk of AEs