How do we ascribe subjective probability? In decision theory, this question is often addressed by representation theorems, going back to Ramsey (1926), which tell us how to define or measure subjective probability by observable preferences. However, standard representation theorems make strong rationality assumptions, in particular expected utility maximization. How do we ascribe subjective probability to agents which do not satisfy these strong rationality assumptions? I present a representation theorem with weak rationality assumptions which can be used to define or measure subjective probability for partly irrational agents
AbstractBased on the setting of exchangeable bets, this paper proposes a subjectivist view of numeri...
This paper states necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence, uniqueness, and updating ac...
Probability can be used to measure degree of belief in two ways: objectively and subjectively. The o...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that inv...
grantor: University of TorontoThe Subjective Expected Utility (SEU) Theory axiomatized by ...
Frequentist: Probability is just a relative frequency. Propensity: Probability is a tendency towards...
Ramsey (1926) sketches a proposal for measuring the subjective probabilities of an agent by their ob...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that invo...
Abstract. This survey recounts contributions to the axiomatic foundations of subjective probability ...
In his classic book “the Foundations of Statistics” Savage developed a formal system of rational dec...
Subjective probabilities play a role in many economic decisions. There is a large theoretical liter...
We propose a method for estimating subjective beliefs, viewed as a subjective probability distributi...
35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Berlin, Germany, 31 July - 3 August 2013In ...
In 1963, Anscombe and Aumann demonstrated that the introduction of an objective randomizing device i...
ABSTRACT. Subjective probabilities play a role in many economic decisions. There is a large theoreti...
AbstractBased on the setting of exchangeable bets, this paper proposes a subjectivist view of numeri...
This paper states necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence, uniqueness, and updating ac...
Probability can be used to measure degree of belief in two ways: objectively and subjectively. The o...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that inv...
grantor: University of TorontoThe Subjective Expected Utility (SEU) Theory axiomatized by ...
Frequentist: Probability is just a relative frequency. Propensity: Probability is a tendency towards...
Ramsey (1926) sketches a proposal for measuring the subjective probabilities of an agent by their ob...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that invo...
Abstract. This survey recounts contributions to the axiomatic foundations of subjective probability ...
In his classic book “the Foundations of Statistics” Savage developed a formal system of rational dec...
Subjective probabilities play a role in many economic decisions. There is a large theoretical liter...
We propose a method for estimating subjective beliefs, viewed as a subjective probability distributi...
35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Berlin, Germany, 31 July - 3 August 2013In ...
In 1963, Anscombe and Aumann demonstrated that the introduction of an objective randomizing device i...
ABSTRACT. Subjective probabilities play a role in many economic decisions. There is a large theoreti...
AbstractBased on the setting of exchangeable bets, this paper proposes a subjectivist view of numeri...
This paper states necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence, uniqueness, and updating ac...
Probability can be used to measure degree of belief in two ways: objectively and subjectively. The o...