Comparative analysis of traditional and non-traditional threats to Croatian and Serbian nacional security

U ovom radu uspoređuje se utjecaj tradicionalnih i netradicionalnih prijetnji nacionalnoj sigurnosti Hrvatske i Srbije analizom Strategija nacionalne sigurnosti. Sigurnosni se koncept konstantno mijenja s obzirom na globalizaciju svijeta i razvoj nacionalne i međunarodne sigurnosti. Bez obzira na to što danas u najvećoj mjeri na sigurnost utječu netradicionalne prijetnje poput terorizma, iregularnih migracija i transnacionalnog organiziranog kriminala, koji se obrađuju kroz cijeli rad, i dalje postoje šanse za oružanim sukobom. Sve države ulažu u stvaranju snažne nacionalne obrane koja može odgovoriti spomenutim prijetnjama. Cilj je istraživanja prikazati koliko su zapravo slične, odnosno različite, dvije države koje se nalaze u istom regionalnom okruženju te kako na njih utječu i kako se nose s odabranim prijetnjama. Iako se najveći dio rada fokusira na usporedbu Strategija dviju država, spominju se i relevantni zakoni te dokumenti koji se bave analizom utjecaja netradicionalnih prijetnji danas. Usporedbom Strategija nacionalne sigurnosti Srbije 2009. i 2019. može se vidjeti da postoje minimalne razlike u shvaćanju i odnosu prema sigurnosnim prijetnjama, isto kao i u hrvatskim strategijama, bez obzira na konstantne promijene u sigurnosnom okruženju. Komparativnom analizom dokumenata zaključuje se da se Hrvatska i Srbija gotovo na jednak način suočavaju s tradicionalnim i netradicionalnim ugrozama nacionalnoj sigurnosti no razlika se može vidjeti u utjecaju terorizma, iregularnih migracija i transnacionalnog organiziranog kriminala danas.This paper compares the impact of traditional and non-traditional security threats to the national security of Croatia and Serbia by analyzing the National Security Strategies. The security concept is constantly changing due to the globalization of the world and the development of national and international security. Regardless of the fact that today’s security is largely affected by non-traditional threats, such as terrorism, irregular migration and transnational organized crime, which are addressed throughout the paper, there are still chances of armed conflict. All countries invest in creating a strong national defense that can respond to the mentioned threats. The goal of the research is to show how similar, or different, two states located in the same regional environment are, and how they are affected by and deal with these threats. Although this paper mostly focuses on comparing the Strategies of the two countries, relevant laws and documents dealing with the analysis of the impact of non-traditional threats today are also mentioned. By comparing the National Security Strategies of Serbia in 2009 and 2019, it can be seen that there are minimal differences in the understanding and relation towards security threats, the same as in the Croatian strategies, regardless of the constant changes in the security environment. A comparative analysis of documents concludes that Croatia and Serbia face traditional and non-traditional threats to national security almost equally, but the difference can be seen in the impact of terrorism, irregular migration and transnational organized crime today