We are indeed gratified to be able to present eight impressive papers on the subject of expert judgment. It is well-known that the calls for taking uncertainty more seriously in quantitative decision support, at all levels, become ever more persistent (as examples we may mention [1]). Quantifying uncertainty means, proximally and for the most part, using structured expert judgment. The qualifier “structured” means that expert judgment is treated as scientific data, albeit scientific data of a new type. Elicitation and representation of uncertainties, processing the expert judgment data, and utilization of results must be subjected to transparent methodological rules grounded in the scientific method itself. The first article announces the a...
Expert judgement is routinely required to inform critically important decisions. While expert judgem...
Expert knowledge is used widely in the science and practice of conservation because of the complexit...
The inclusion of expert judgments along with other forms of data in science, engineering, and decisi...
We review the applications of structured expert judgment uncertainty quantification using the “class...
Expert opinion and judgment enter into the practice of statistical inference and decision-making in ...
Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities,...
Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities,...
Most scientists would like to see scientific advice used more in government decision-making and in a...
Expert elicitation is deployed when data are absent or uninformative and critical decisions must be ...
PresentationTo be acceptably safe one must identify the risks one is exposed to. It is uncertain whe...
AbstractThis paper addresses the problem of modeling of expert knowledge as a starting point for inf...
This report is an assignment for the MOOC Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Applying Structured Exp...
The study of how people use subjective probabilities is a remarkably modern concern, and was largely...
<p>The work described in this report, part of a larger SEI research effort on Quantifying Uncertaint...
Uncertainty quantification can be broadly defined as the process of characterizing, estimating, prop...
Expert judgement is routinely required to inform critically important decisions. While expert judgem...
Expert knowledge is used widely in the science and practice of conservation because of the complexit...
The inclusion of expert judgments along with other forms of data in science, engineering, and decisi...
We review the applications of structured expert judgment uncertainty quantification using the “class...
Expert opinion and judgment enter into the practice of statistical inference and decision-making in ...
Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities,...
Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities,...
Most scientists would like to see scientific advice used more in government decision-making and in a...
Expert elicitation is deployed when data are absent or uninformative and critical decisions must be ...
PresentationTo be acceptably safe one must identify the risks one is exposed to. It is uncertain whe...
AbstractThis paper addresses the problem of modeling of expert knowledge as a starting point for inf...
This report is an assignment for the MOOC Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Applying Structured Exp...
The study of how people use subjective probabilities is a remarkably modern concern, and was largely...
<p>The work described in this report, part of a larger SEI research effort on Quantifying Uncertaint...
Uncertainty quantification can be broadly defined as the process of characterizing, estimating, prop...
Expert judgement is routinely required to inform critically important decisions. While expert judgem...
Expert knowledge is used widely in the science and practice of conservation because of the complexit...
The inclusion of expert judgments along with other forms of data in science, engineering, and decisi...