Rural-Urban Migration and Vietnamese Agriculture

Vietnam has achieved remarkable economic growth since it liberalised its markets, and further economic growth and opportunities are predicted both within and outside the agriculture sector. However, growth has not been evenly distributed across regions and significant structural adjustment pressures are expected in the medium to long term. A dynamic, eight region, 13 commodity, non-linear programming model of Vietnam’s agricultural sector is used to analyse the likely impact of a change in rural-urban migration on agricultural production, prices, trade and regional incomes