The Effect of Consumption Based Taxes on Agriculture in the United States

Recently several proposals have arisen to replace the current income tax system in the United States with a consumption based or Fair Tax. This study investigates the effect of such a consumption based tax on agricultural investment decisions using stochastic optimal control to model the investment decision at the farm level. The results indicate that a consumption tax rate of 25.9 percent would be equivalent to the income tax rate paid by very large producers in the United States